Global geopolitical risks in the near future and their reflections on Türkiye

Abstract

The above phrase is an anonymous proverb emphasising the significance of predicting or forecasting the future. Every entity in the world begs to have an idea of the future, such as wage war, investing, opening a business, selecting a profession, etc. Indeed, the vagueness of the future was an issue that military strategists mainly had dealt with in the theatre. Carl von Clausewitz calls the “fog of war”, which is the difficulty of mitigating uncertainty due to the general (un)reliability of information, which he phrased as “intermixed with chance, numerous imponderables, the limitations of accurate observation and the vast number of variables involved.” On the other hand, a commander needs to frame the operational environment, that is, to depict the reality of the current environment and all the intricate details that influence that environment.